Do you believe that a cricket match can actually be predictable? Experienced punters will say YES, while the normal game watchers or beginners of online cricket betting might give it a NO.
Most beginners of cricket betting will start from watching the cricket news or highlights made by bookmakers or researchers, and this is important indeed. However, in some cases they still fail to win the bet. Why?
Here are some cricket betting tips that people always forget, or you might not know as a new starter.
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Study the stats from the past
The first cricket betting tips is not a news, but still lots of people forget its power often. If you look closely into every cricket match you watch, you will find a pattern inside. The pattern then is the place where you can predict the result of matches. For example, you can often see a batsman who plays really well might stumble after a strategic time out in an IPL game.
Even in Test matches, you can see batsmen falling just close (after or before) to the session breaks. Eventually you will get to notice the factors if you follow the game closely.
In recent years, the chasing sides have finished often on the winning side; the reason being batting has become easier, and the batsmen are hitting boundaries easier than ever before.
To understand the pattern, you should study the previous head-to-head analysis of both the sides that are playing; especially the recent matches. While it is important to look into the available players in the team, one should also look for who has played well in those previous games against the same opponent, and check whether that certain player is playing this game.
Wait for the Toss
Toss can play a significant factor in Test matches and, what’s more, the ODI matches. Remember Sourav Ganguly calling it right in the toss, and calling it wrong when picking to bat or ball, in the 2003 World Cup final game against Australia. India had been playing well in that entire tournament, but it is Australia you are playing against in a pressure game. He should have gone for the bat instead.
But now, in recent years, things have changed. Chasing has become the teams’ strengths. With the target on the board, teams are now winning more. Especially in sub-continent conditions, with the dew always around, it becomes a busy task for the bowlers to defend totals.
This condition becomes reversed in the longest format. In Test cricket, the team that bats last often loses; that is how the game is structured. Batting was getting difficult in the last two days, and even chasing a small target will be a big task.
Take external factors into consideration
Whatever the squad is and whoever the player is, in the team you are supporting or betting on, more than 50% of the game’s result depends on external factors. It includes the pitch, the weather, the time of the match (whether it’s a day game or a day-night), and boundary sizes to an extent (especially in T20s).
Now, if a team has good pace bowlers and they play in a green track, the team has already got an advantage in advance. Imagine a tortoise and a rabbit race conducted in a water-body; the result would be visible. It is the side, which knows the conditions well or can adapt well to the scenarios, wins. That’s why often the home teams win in cricket, or any sport.
Make sure you look out for all the necessary factors before the game and pick a side.
Compare the key players of both the teams
It is important to study the opposition’s strength, no matter what day you play on. The same goes for prediction. Picking a winning team is crucial in the forecast. If you believe this key player is going to win you the game for the side that you are backing, it is important to check on his counterpart in the opposition side as well.
For example, if it’s an opening batsman, the key player of your team, look for the inswinging bowlers in the opposition side who can trouble your batsman. That is, if you have Chris Gayle playing today, look for whether Bhuvneshwar Kumar or Jasprit Bumrah is playing on the other side. It is not that Gayle cannot tackle them. It was him that more was vulnerable at the beginning of his innings, and these bowlers had made most use of that previously.
And, if you have a team with more left-handers in their lot, playing against a wicket-taking off-spinner is worse. Look for finishers in the side who can bat long and hit big at the end. That’s an advantage.